strong
LSU @ Alabama
Over 49.5
-108 at BetMGM
Model59.6%
Market50.0%
Edge+9.6%
Pts+4.5
Units3.00
model shrunk 27% toward market (confidence 0.73)
model shrunk 27% toward market (confidence 0.73)
model shrunk 22% toward market (confidence 0.78)
model shrunk 36% toward market (confidence 0.64); push chance 2.8%
model shrunk 30% toward market (confidence 0.70); push chance 2.4%
model shrunk 30% toward market (confidence 0.70)
model shrunk 30% toward market (confidence 0.70); push chance 2.4%
model shrunk 30% toward market (confidence 0.70)
model shrunk 22% toward market (confidence 0.78)
model shrunk 30% toward market (confidence 0.70); push chance 2.9%
model shrunk 28% toward market (confidence 0.72); push chance 2.9%
model shrunk 30% toward market (confidence 0.70)
model shrunk 42% toward market (confidence 0.58); push chance 2.4%
model shrunk 36% toward market (confidence 0.64)
model shrunk 38% toward market (confidence 0.62)
model shrunk 33% toward market (confidence 0.67); push chance 2.5%
model shrunk 23% toward market (confidence 0.77)
| Matchup | Margin | Fair spread | Total | Home win | Conf |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Purdue @ Notre Dame | +29.9 | -29.9 | 51.9 | 97% | 0.62 |
| Washington State @ Oregon | +22.1 | -22.1 | 49.7 | 92% | 0.72 |
| Vanderbilt @ Boise State | +17.2 | -17.2 | 50.6 | 86% | 0.58 |
| Cincinnati @ Kansas State | +17.1 | -17.1 | 53.5 | 86% | 0.67 |
| Arizona @ Utah | +14.8 | -14.8 | 55.8 | 82% | 0.62 |
| Duke @ Clemson | +14.7 | -14.7 | 53.2 | 82% | 0.64 |
| Tennessee @ Georgia | +13.0 | -13.0 | 54.9 | 79% | 0.77 |
| Iowa @ Penn State | +11.9 | -11.9 | 56.7 | 77% | 0.70 |
| Louisville @ Miami | +10.4 | -10.4 | 58.1 | 74% | 0.70 |
| Mississippi @ Texas | +10.2 | -10.2 | 52.5 | 74% | 0.78 |
| Michigan @ Ohio State | +9.7 | -9.7 | 57.2 | 73% | 0.79 |
| LSU @ Alabama | +8.9 | -8.9 | 54.0 | 71% | 0.73 |